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Originally Posted by Youchka Sorry ma fhemet chi men chi from your analysis. |
Well, read it again and I am sure you will.
To simplify, Sunnite in Bekaa votes for FM with 85%, correct?
Skaff then has 15%, and from the table 3317, so there were 22113 votes Sunnite from Zahlee.
Now, the sum of Sunnite votes for Skaff & Fattoush is 26268. So the is 4000 unexpected Sunnite votes. They are justified by the Meghterben IMO.
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Originally Posted by Youchka First I do not know where you got these figures from, I will wait for the ministry to publish the official ones next week.
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I said it: مركز بيروت للابحاث والمعلومات
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However, and taking into consideration the numbers you posted, Skaff is ahead of Fattouch by more than 3000 votes in what is called Christian. He has 3000 sunnis, not from the ones that were registered, he had a Sunni on his list, between the family, uncles, tantes, jiran, he got 3000 votes.
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Aha, but this donesn't make any change; 85% votes for Harere
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And no there were not 20000 Sunni votes that were moved to Zahle, it was less, but enough to tip the balance.
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How much?
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Remove the Sunni and the Chiite factors and votes, Elie would have won.
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Remove all the sects excepting Maraunite, the result is 6-1 for FM