Quote:
Originally Posted by Mahmoum The story of na2el el votes is not logic at all if we look at the table below and if we consider the fact that 85 of sunnite votes for FM and at least 10 flies transported people to Zahle.
Based on the table below (مركز بيروت للابحاث والمعلومات)- 03317 Sunna votes for Skaff and 22951 for Fattouch
- 13988 Shea votes for Skaff and 00690 for Fattouch
You said about 20 000 votes had been moved to Zahlee, let's agree on that, so Fattoush will not have than 2951 (22951 -2000) Sunnite Zahlee votes & 3317 votes for SKAFF? Impossible. Why? Because Sunna of Bekaa voted with at least 85% for 14 March
In the best case, SKAFF will have 15% of sunnite votes, and based on the table, 3317 votes, which means there were 22113 Sunna votes in total (X = 3317*100/15 = 22113)
So, Fattouch with 85% will have 18796.
But Fattoush has 22951, so from where the difference of 4154? Simple, the CHARTER FLIES :-)
Moreover, if we look at the Shea votes, so better for Skaff to don't open the topic again :-) If this is not correct, so the only explication is that FM asked 15% of moved sonna to vote for SKAFF to hide the fact that Sunna votes are not from Zahlee, which seems for me a story very baykha :-)
So, Skaff is a loser, even with an extra of 13298 Shea votes  |
Sorry ma fhemet chi men chi from your analysis. First I do not know where you got these figures from, I will wait for the ministry to publish the official ones next week.
However, and taking into consideration the numbers you posted, Skaff is ahead of Fattouch by more than 3000 votes in what is called Christian. He has 3000 sunnis, not from the ones that were registered, he had a Sunni on his list, between the family, uncles, tantes, jiran, he got 3000 votes.
And no there were not 20000 Sunni votes that were moved to Zahle, it was less, but enough to tip the balance.
The Chiites gave Skaff that is not a mystery and the Sunni gave in their great majority to Fattouch.
Remove the Sunni and the Chiite factors and votes, Elie would have won.