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Default Will they accept the election results if the opposition wins? - 17th May 2009

It seems that the west will not accept the elections results if the oppositon wins:

DebkaFile Syrian president Bashar Assad has sidestepped every effort by Obama's special envoys to Damascus to persuade him to keep his hands off Lebanon. He is clearly helping Iran's stooge Hizballah and its Christian ally Gen, Michel Aoun, to rig the election for removing the pro-Western government. Their victory will install Syrian-Iranian candidates in Beirut as the power in the land


Disgusting Robert Fisk in the IndependantThe catch, of course, is that if the Hizbollah and its running mates – they include the crackpot General Michel Aoun who has successfully split the Christian Maronites by posing as Syria's and Iran's new best friend – pick up a majority of the vote, America will have to talk to a "Hizbollah-led" government in Lebanon. Or will refuse to do so as the case may be.

...

But don't be too sure. One of the big mistakes of the Bush era was to demand democracy for the Palestinians and to approve of fair elections before realising that Hamas would win. And once the Palestinians had achieved that astonishing result, they had to be punished for it. (It was, I recall, the Ottawa Citizen which announced that the Palestinians should be "threatened with fresh elections".) But most of my Lebanese colleagues, listening to Mrs Albright, came away with a deep suspicion: that if the Lebanese elections bring the friendly "democrats" back to power, the National Democratic Institute and its other poll-sniffers will announce a fair and free election. But if the Hizbollah and their allies move into power, it will suddenly be discovered that the Lebanese poll was "deeply flawed". And then, I suppose, we would all be "threatened with fresh elections".


Despicable and un-objective Cal Perry - CNNAoun -- who has flipped and flopped politically more than a fish out of water -- recently announced he would align with the March 8 bloc, led by Hezbollah. That will give the bloc the the numbers it needs to control parliament after the June 7 elections.

So what happens on June 8 when the world wakes up to a Lebanon that sees Hezbollah aligned with Aoun as the majority and Hariri's March 14 bloc as the opposition party?

When Hamas won the elections in Gaza in January 2006, former U.S. President Jimmy Carter called the elections "free and fair." But that made no difference as Israel tightened its grip, and the two rival Palestinian factions, Hamas and Fatah, killed each other in the streets of Gaza.

Is the situation any different now for Lebanon, or is it perhaps even worse?

Lebanon's political landscape is shifting months after a similar shift in Israel. Voters in the Jewish state overwhelmingly supported conservative parties over more moderate groups, bringing into power Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu earlier this year.

Netanyahu is viewed in the Arab world as more hawkish than his predecessor, Ehud Olmert, who ordered the war against Hezbollah in 2006.

With an estimated 30,000 rockets pointed at Israel from southern Lebanon -- all under the control of Hezbollah -- how can Netanyahu sell the idea to the people of northern Israel that they are safe from a country ruled by Hezbollah-aligned politicians?

The situation means that the Arab world will be listening even more closely to Obama's June 4 address in Cairo to hear whether the U.S. president will champion democracy -- even if it means an inevitable standoff between Israel, a historically staunch ally, and Lebanon, as it struggles to find an identity both within itself and in the outside world


So the trend is very clear, attack the FPM and especially GMA and start talking about unfair election, while we have read reports about the acknowledgement of the Saudis and the US helping the Feb-14 forces in the elections! The epitome of hypocrisy of the "free western journalists".
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Default 18th May 2009

here you should ask Amine Gemayel, he's expert
Till now, I don't know who win Metn By Election 2007: Amine Gemayel or Dr. Kamil Khoury
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Default 18th May 2009

Quote:
Will they accept the election results if the opposition wins?
actually i don't care
if we win bikoun ma3na el shar3iyeh el sha3biyeh + HA's weapons:P , then nothing can stop us
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Default 18th May 2009

Shou bta3mellon, since 2005, they've been running their Looney Tunes show, to not avail..

"Road Runner, Road Runner runs on the road all day.
Even the Coyote can't make him change his ways.
Road Runner, that Coyote's after you!
Road Runner, if he catches you, you're through!
That Coyote is really a crazy clown!
When will he learn that he never can mow him down?"





Beep..Beep..

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Default 18th May 2009

Aoun - recently announced he would align with the March 8 bloc, led by Hezbollah. That will give the bloc the the numbers it needs to control parliament after the June 7 elections.
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Default 18th May 2009

it is very well known that the hamas coup against fatah in ghaza was an effort to counter an already planned fatah coup against the hamas-led government. this proved to be a trap for hamas, although it never was set up as one bc nobody in washington and tel aviv had forethought that hamas would rout fatahs services so easily. still, it ended up being a tragedy for the palestinians especially in ghaza, bc they were easily isolated.

i think ha has learned a lesson or two from that, and after june 7th there will not be an "ha-led government", i think that ha really will want to have nothing more that a symbolic presence in the government, and it wants "m14" to take part in it.

time will tell if the western opinion machine wants and will succeed in dubbing that new government a "ha-led g.". although we all have seen a lot of how this machine works, i doubt that the western public will swallow that, when the next coalition is made up overwhelmingly of c&r. if the worst they can say is that 2aun is a "crackpot", that might not be enough to declare him a satan. and all the while they will need someone to talk to.

my prediction is: lf and fm will stay out, berri will bring psp into the government, the west will all of a sudden come to the conclusion that this must be a centrist government with ha participation, and that it must be "engaged" (which can be pretty annoying though).

maybe i am wrong, i hope i am not, but i do not see that the west is deeply hysterical about the outcome, although naturally it tries hard to be, although not very convincing.

(depends on the outcome of iranian elctions though.)
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