What/Who will be FPM's major opponent(s) in the 2009 elections? (You can vote for more than one option)

[freelebanonn]

Originally Posted by Dark Angel

it would be wrong to underestimate the electoral machine of the Lebanese forces, they have an army of anti-FPMers at their disposal, and i am talking about brainwashed fanatics who would use everything from sweet talk to physical intimidation to make things go their way.

it will be the first real electoral experience to LF while fpm is way more experienced now in that field baabda-aley election with hekmat dib, 2005 election and maten election with camil khoury.

[vegojimbo]

FPM's major opponents are IMO: Media and false propaganda, Petrodollar, and most importantly FPMers themselves.

Media and false propaganda: Media is currently controlled by the loyalists. Sure FPM now has OTV, tayyar.org and VoT in its arsenal, but the sector is still largely dominated by 14 feb forces mainly LBC (playing the major role), FTV, VoL, RLL, etc....Not to forget the monopoly on the advertisement sector by Saatchi & Saatchi and the Choueiry group.
False propaganda is also a powerful tool as loyalist politicians excel in fabricating events and coming up with lies and feeding them to the public.

Petrodollar:Sadly, Lebanese value their voice and rights so cheap. The lousy economical situation has made it easy to buy ppl's voices for a few bucks, even though on the long run these ppl will be paying back this bribe 10 folds. In 2005, Northerners were being bought for as low as 100$. In 2007, the price of one head (just like cattle) rose to 1000$, and many ppl couldn't resist such a large amount of money thinking their one voice will not change the results. Even pro-FPMers succumbed to temptation (at least 12 pro-FPM Metn voters I know fell for it in 2007 by-elections).

FPMers: the biggest problem remains with FPMers themselves. Overconfidence is a major issue bc it leads to lack of hard work and wrong feel of ease which will increase the risks and magnitude of the loss. Arrogance is another problem, bc quite a few FPM officials see themselves deserving of positions just bc they fought the syrians -forgetting that thousands of others were fighting the occupation alongside them- and thinking the time to reap the rewards has come.

The key to winning is working ur butts off knowing u would lose and always putting in mind that the opponent is ahead of u by far (even if that's not the case). That way, if u win, the taste of victory will be greater as u would have earned it; if u lose however, u would know that u did ur best and u would have a clear conscience.