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  (#21 (permalink)) Old
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Default 10th June 2009

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Originally Posted by Belle09 View Post
Victory is won not in miles but in inches. Win a little now, hold your ground, and later [in 2013], win a little more.

For now, go out there with a smile on your face and your head held high knowing that through honesty, integrity, and merit we won 27 MP seats. TWENTY SEVENNNN.

The accomplishment of FPM in the face of EVERY kind of adversity is going to go down in the books. I am so fortunate to be part of that history, and I am so proud to support a party that advocates the true freedom and dignity of every individual. I congratulate FPM, its leaders, its committees and of course its members. And indeed it goes without saying that we wouldn’t have gotten this far without OUR president, General Aoun.

God bless GMA, Al Tayyar Al Watani Al Horr, and all of you!
Guys its even sooner, start preparing for the Municipality election, its less than a year away.
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Default 10th June 2009

Tribute to Tashnaq who lost as much as we did , if not more. For being true and honest when many others(if not all) would have sold us.
Tribute to Sleiman Frangieh and Marada, for rising up to the challenge.
Tribute to Elias Skaff, because he lost while fighting with us.
Tribute to Ghassan el Achkar, because he felt victim of foolishness.
Tribute to HA. May our alliance persevere and stay as a thorn in their side (and somewhere else)

Finally, a special tribute to all FPM Students who took part in Beirut I elections. So many of us gave huge time and effort, we had a huge responsibility on our shoulders and i believe that we have risen up to the task and as long as there exists such people in FPM , we shall prevail.

1989 was the beginning.
2009 was not the end.

لا يموت حق وراءه مطالب
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Default 10th June 2009

Thank you FPM, Tashnag, Marada, SSNP, Hezbollah, Amal, Erslan's DP and all other opposition parties and factions for proving that our alliance was a reality and a dream that failed in numbers but succeeded in sociological and visionary aspects.

I am lucky to live in an Era with all these great opposition figures allying with each other and giving a great view and Reform program for Lebanon that unfortunately didn't see the light and might never will.
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Default 10th June 2009

To all of you who spent days and nights working relentlessly,

To all of you who gave it your best, your time and your emotions,

To all of you who refused to bow despite pressures,

To every student, mother and elder who went the extra mile,

To all of you who believed and still believe,


You are truly an inspiration to many of us! Thank you for everything.
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Default 10th June 2009

رغم أنني لست لبنانيا وددت أن أوجه التحية كل التحية لكل من صوت للمعارضة الوطنية ، لكل من وقف لساعات تحت الشمس الحارقة وكله أمل في لبنان آخر ، فإعذروني إن وجدتموني غير محق بتوجيهها
تحية لحزب الطاشناق تحية للأرمن الأحرار ، ونعم الصديق والحليف في زمن يعز في الرجال ، يحسب لهم قوة ودقة ماكينتهم ومجهود رائع يستحق كل التقدير
تحية للمردة تحية خاصة لسليمان فرنجية العفوي الصريح والصديق الذي تجده دوما إلى جانبك في وقت الضيق ، تحية للمردة على عودتهم القوية من الوراء
تحية خاصة للكتلة الشعبية وبالأخص للرجل إيلي سكاف الذي صدق في تحالفه رغم ما جلبه له من ويلات هذا التحالف مع الجنرال ، وفي إعتقادي ودون شك لو لم يكن سكاف متحالفا مع الجنرال لما تعرض لكل هذه الهجمة ، رغم كل اللي صار تبقى زحلة عاصمة الكتلكة وعروس البقاع رغم الحزن الذي لفها ، ويبقى إيلي سكاف نجمها الساطع بعوفيته المعهودة وهو في القلب قبل النيابة وبعدها وبدونها
تحية للحزب الوطني القومي السوري ، تحية لغسان الأشقر الذي كبر في عيني بعد رأيته اليوم في ساحة الجديدة إلى جنب أصدقائه الفائزين في دائرة المتن فرحا لفرحهم رغم كل شيء
http://www.tayyar.org/tayyar/storage...ed/Media47.JPG
ملعون أنت أيها التشطيب فلولا التشطيب لكان هو أيضا اليوم نائبا ولولا التشطيب لكان أيضا غسان الرحباني نائب ولما طالعنا المر بسحنته السوداء المقيتة ليعلن إنتصاره
بين قوسين ألا يشعر من قام بتشطيب الأشقر فقط لأنه من الحزب القومي بالخجل ، قد يزعج كلامي هذا البعض لكنها الصراحة المرة ، عيب على كل من شطب الأشقر فقط لأنه قومي ، كيف شعورك اليوم وأنت ترى الجميل والمر نائبين ، للأسف كل من قاموا بتشطيبه لم يبادلوا الحزب القومي الجميل بمثله بل كانوا ناكرين له ، في منظورهم لا ضير من الإستفادة من أصوات القومي لكن نشطب مرشحه الذي هو حليفنا ، أرى فيها شيئا من الغدر والخيانة وكلامي موجه فقط لمن شطب ، طبعا أدرك جيدا لعبة التزوير والمشاكل الذي يعرفها المتن لمصلحة المر وعائلة الجميل
تحية لحزب الله ونعم الحليف الصادق الوفي ، حليف يتعامل بإحترام وتقدير مع حلفائه بغض النظر عن أحجامهم ، في إعتقادي التفاهم والتناغم والتحالف بين التيار والحزب تجاوز بشكل كبير ماهو سياسي لينسج علاقات ممتازة بين القاعدتين الجماهيريتين الأكبر في لبنان
تحية لكل أنصار المعارضة من مختلف الفئات والحركات بدءا بحركة أمل إلى الجنوب حيث أسامة سعد للبقاع حيث عبد الرحيم مراد والفرزلي للشوف وعاليه حيث وهاب وأرسلان للشمال حيث عمر كرامي ، تحية للجميع لكل مناصر للمعارضة الوطنية من أقصى الجنوب لأقصى الشمال
وأخير وليس آخرا تحية خاصة ملؤها الود والمحبة والتقدير لكل شباب وشابات التيار الوطني الحر لكل أنصار ومناصري التيار ، لقد كنتم في الموعد وخضتم معركة كونية ضد البترودولار وتوابعه الحريرية في لبنان ، تستحقون كل التقدير على كل وقتكم وجهدكم ومالكم الذي قدمتموه في هذه الفترة العصيبة ، وبقيتم رغم الداء والأعداء رقما صعبا لايمكن هضمه أو الإستهانة به ، وبقي الجنرال العزيز على قلوبنا شوكة في حلق الأعداء ، تحية أخرى لماكينة التيار لإعلامه ولإعلانه الراقي ، وصدقا إعلان
soit belle et vote ,,, je suis belle et je vote orange
كان الأروع والأجمل فيما رأيت في كل حياتي من إعلانات إنتخابية ، يستحق صاحبه سامي صعب تحية خاصة
لقد كنتم في الموعد وحققتم نصرا جليا سيخرس أفواه كل المتشدقين الكتبة بالقطعة ، رغم أن فرحتنا لم تكتمل بنصر إجمالي ينقد بلدكم الجميل ويرسو به لبر الأمان لأن الشياطين أبوا إلا أن يضخوا مئات ملايين الدولارات من أجل كسر إرادتكم
ولأنكم ضحيتم بوقتكم وجهدكم ومالكم وعرقكم للمساهمة في هذه المعركة الإنتخابية الشرسة ، ولستم كغيركم ممن يتقاضون المال نضير ذلك أو ممن باعو ضمائرهم وأصواتهم مقابل أوراق خضراء لن تدوم ، لكم مني كل المحبة وخالص التقدير ووردة أورانج لكل منكم
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Default 10th June 2009

Firstly, congratulations to all who support the loyalist camp in Lebanon lead by Saad Hariri on winning the 2009 Lebanese parliamentary elections. The results are out, with the loyalists winning 71 seats (includes 3 independents) and the opposition lead by General Michel Aoun winning 57 seats.

Despite the loyalists winning the elections, a major point that has gone unnoticed is the huge success of General Michel Aoun in these elections. The election results once again proved that General Michel Aoun is the undisputed Christian leader of Lebanon. The Change & Reform (C&R) block headed by Aoun won the Christian vote in 8/11 Christian-majority regions as follows:
- Zgharta
- Jbeil
- Keserwen
- Maten
- Baabda
- Jezzine
- Zahle (Sunni vote ensured that loyalist list won in Zahle)
- Koura (Sunni vote ensured that loyalist list won in Koura)

The only 3 Christian-majority regions where C&R lost in the Christian street were Batroun, Bsharre and Ashrafiyye (extremely close).

Aoun also won the Christian vote in other qadas with a sizeable Christian minority, such as Chouf, Aley, Akkar and Western Bekaa/Rashayya.

What does this all this amount to in terms of block sizes?
- Aoun's block = 27 seats (includes 20 seats for Free Patriotic Movement)
- Owwet = 5 seats
- Kataeb = 5 seats
- Ahrar = 1 seat
- Ketle Wataniyye = 0 seats
- Former Qornet Shehwen = 1 seat (Butrous Harb)
- Independents + President = 1 seat (Michel Murr)
- Independent March 14 = 1 seat (Nayla Tueni)

This is 20 seats won by just the FPM (excludes 7 Christian allies) compared to a combined number of 14 seats won by every loyalist Christian grouping in the country.

These numbers cannot be disputed with. Following these elections, Aoun has actually extended his bloc size from 21 to 27 seats and is once again the undisputed Christian leader of Lebanon.

And for those who can't work out why Aoun did extremely well in the Christian street and yet the opposition lost the elections, the answer lies in the election law. In the Sunni- and Druze-majority areas (streets that are polarised for loyalists), the results were:

Western Bekaa/Rashayya: 6 loyalists
Akkar: 7 loyalists
Tripoli: 8 loyalists
Minye/Denniyye: 3 loyalists
Beirut III: 10 loyalists
Beirut II: 2 loyalists
Aley: 4 loyalists
Chouf: 8 loyalists
Sidon: 2 loyalists
Total loyalists = 50 seats

In the Shiite-majority areas, (streets that are polarised for opposition) the results were:
Baalback/Hermel: 10 opposition
Marjeyoun Hasbayya: 5 opposition
Tyre: 4 opposition
Bent Jbeil: 3 opposition
Nabatiyye: 3 opposition
Zahrani: 3 opposition
Beirut II: 2 opposition
Aley: 1 opposition
Total opposition = 31 seats

This meant that Aoun needed to win 33/47 seats (70%) in the Christian-majority regions to reach the 64 seats required for the opposition to win half of parliament, while the Christian loyalists needed to win just 14/47 seats (30%) to reach 64 seats. However, Zahle experienced a remarkable increase of Sunni votes from 2005-2009, giving it a total of 27,000 votes compared to just 15,000 Shiite votes. This gave the Christian loyalists a 12,000 vote advantage before the distribution of the Christian vote and made it impossible for Aoun's list to win in Zahle, unlike in 2005, when the numbers of Sunni voters were much much lower. With Zahle guaranteed for the loyalists, this left Aoun with just 40 seats to contest of which he needed to win 33 (83%). So Aoun had a mammoth task and it is obvious that the 1960 Qada Election Law greatly favoured the loyalists. Of these 40 seats, Aoun and his allies managed to win the following:
Jbeil: 3 seats
Keserwen: 5 seats
Maten: 6 seats out of 8
Baabda: 6 seats
Zgharta: 3 seats
Jezzine: 3 seats
Total seats won by C&R in Christian-majority regions = 26 seats. Although the Shiite votes in Jbeil and Baabda were in Aoun's favour, so was the Christian vote.

So Aoun needed another 7 seats of the remaining 12. Bsharre (2 seats) is a Lebanese Forces stronghold and so Aoun needed 7 of the remaining 10 seats. In Koura (3 seats), Aoun managed to win the Christian vote, but like Zahle, the Sunni vote ensured Aoun's loss in this electorate. Now 7 needed from 7 seats. In Batroun (2 seats), Aoun truly lost the Christian vote and it was very close in Ashrafiyye with a 5-0 win for the loyalists.

So using this bad election law and against all odds (once again FPM is extremely disadvantaged by the election law), the political money, the lies, the buying of thousands of votes, blackmailing and threatening people, cheating, having the president and the Batrak against us and the scare tactics and propoganda of Hezbollah and Wileyet Al Fakih, the tayyar list managed to win the Christian vote in 8/11 Christian-majority regions and increased its block by 6 seats from 21 to 27 seats. This is amazing given that the Lebanese Forces won 6 seats in 2005 and just 5 seats in 2009.

Congratulations FPM on what is an excellent result that is not really apparent unless emails like this are written to explain the situation.
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Default 12th June 2009

Even though we might have done well in some districts, but we, as FPMers could do much better. I hope this election will be a lesson for us.

Our next Challenge is going to be the municipalities. I would rather have a SILENT approach concerning municipalities. Work on the ground directly with the people. Do not polarize the situation, stay calm and work discreetly. If we work well, cleverly and secretly, we can get a very good score in the municipalities.
FPM should start forming Committees concerning this issue starting NOW.
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Default 12th June 2009

Even though we might have done well in some districts, but we, as FPMers could do much better. I hope this election will be a lesson for us.

Our next Challenge is going to be the municipalities. I would rather have a SILENT approach concerning municipalities. Work on the ground directly with the people. Do not polarize the situation, stay calm and work discreetly. If we work well, cleverly and secretly, we can get a very good score in the municipalities.
FPM should start forming Committees concerning this issue starting NOW.
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Icon4 منقلن لو مهما صار باقي التيار الجبار - 13th June 2009

I was one of those who were really disappointed to the point that, like many of you here, I really considered not coming back to Lebanon for good..

Today I believe in GMA more than ever, I am a proud FPMer more than ever! This is not the time for backing off, losing hope or giving up!

We will keep on fighting those keeping us away from Lebanon..
We will keep on fighting corruption..
We will keep on fighting feudalism..
We will keep on fighting sectarianism..
We will keep on fighting for Francois El Hajj and October 13th martyrs..
We will never give up on our beloved Lebanon.. NEVER!





من قهر وعذاب النار رح من كمل المشوار
من قهر وعذاب النار رح من كمل المشوار
من دمعة امات كتار بكيت ع نصر الغدار
منقلن لو مهما صار باقي التيار الجبار
منقلن لو مهما صار باقي التيار الجبار
يكتب تاريخ الابطال عصفحاتو لما بتنطال
ويقول لكل الطغات
تاريخ الحرف إلي فينا بيحكي عنا وبكفينا
وهل أرض إلي فيها ربينا رح نحمي ترابا ونفديها

منصمد بالارض إلي فيها مجد وقوة وعنفوان
وعد علينا منبقى فيها نحمي أرزك يا لبنان
منصمد بالارض إلي فيها مجد وقوة وعنفوان
وعد علينا منبقى فيها نحمي أرزك يا لبنان
وهالارض ال مش رح ننسيها رح نحميها ونخليها
بقلوب ألحق إلي فينا منصرخ بليل الطغيان
تاريخ الحرف إلي فينا بيحكي عنا وبكفينا
وهل أرض إلي فيها ربينا رح منحمي ترابا ونفديها

قلنا لغير الله ما منركع هيدي شهادتنا بلبنان
وحدو صوت الحق منسمع منخلق للرفض عنوان
قلنا لغير الله ما منركع هيدي شهادتنا بلبنان
وحدو صوت الحق منسمع منخلق للرفض عنوان
إغتصبوا الحرية حماتا ودقوا بارضا ودماتا
أرض إلي منحلف وحياتا رح نبقى فيها ونقول
تاريخ الحرف إلي فينا بيحكي عنا وبكفينا
وهل أرض إلي فيها ربينا رح منحمي ترابا ونفديها

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  (#30 (permalink)) Old
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Default 13th June 2009

I salute you!

Just make sure to orient your energy in the right directions! Every FPMer has to realize the mistakes we committed in setting up our targets.

We focused on bull.s.hit sectarian representation and got ourselves out of people's daily life problems here and there.

We made of ourselves a big party that became like a heavy balloon that couldn't fly anymore! We need to loose ourselves and revive individual and small-team "commando" initiative everywhere and in every single place where problems persist...

We need to be creative and we need to communicate with anyone and any fellow CITIZEN that can be on our side to achieve the reform that we thrive for for our society!

Good luck to you and to us and to everyone who realized it's just the typical time to come back and WORK and not otherwise indeed!
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