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Originally Posted by Bullet Magnet I would like to hear your opinion on: How would naturalizing the Palestinian in Lebanon solve the middle east crisis? ... or exacerbate it? |
First off, I believe that there should be enough incentives for the Palestinians to accept the naturalization. For an ideological group like Hamas, naturalization of the Palestinians is not a great scenario as they will be moving away from their ideology. This ideology is what exactly got them their place in the current Palestinian political scene.
Second, there doesn't seem to be a Lebanese consensus on that matter. At least two thirds of the population are heavily opposing the idea and unless an incentive is there for those to accept it, there is a high probability that they will stick to their current opinion.
Now regarding the naturalization itself, it surely solves some problems in the Palestinian-Israeli conflict (keeping in mind the argument about Hamas above), but however I fail to see how it can bring more stability to the whole Middle East when the Lebanese do not seem to agree on the Palestinian presence.
Now, elsewhere, in Jordan for example, naturalization is a fait accompli and now more than half of the population is somewhat tied to Palestine (either naturalized Palestinian Jordanian or Palestinian refugee). In countries where there are no major religious diversity such as Jordan, Tunisia or some other Arab countries (where no Shiites exist), the process can be easier if those countries are in need of the human capital. However, would the Palestinians in Lebanon for example move to those countries? Highly unlikely, because it conflicts with the ideology. It will be interpreted as part of the Israeli plan.
Concerning the West, I tend to disagree that such a stance can be taken by the US in the time being. With all the pressure on foreign policy, a controversial issue such as this one is probably unable to make its way with so many stakeholders unsatisfied.
my 2 cents ...