Quote:
Originally Posted by dodzi People from both side will come. True. But Hariri only has the means to MAKE people come on HIS personal finance. 10.000 votes won't make him win the elections. He might win a casa or 2 he wouldn't have otherwise, but he needs much more than 10.000. Try at least 50.000!
If you take the 2005 results in the Christian areas, he'll need at least 20.000 votes in Matn, and some 30.000 votes in Keserwen-Jbeil. That is not to mention that he'll need even more to win casas like Zahle and more considering the new casas like Baabda, Beirut 1 and 2, Batroun, Koura, Tripoli, etc. |
i will doubt that they can mobilize over 10000 christians to come and vote in our kazas
how mnay usa or canaa europe based people they have for 14feb and at the same time are willing to come and vote.
getting leave and time off is not easy.
their best bet is from the gulf area, and there how may christians can they get?????
ye3ni shou al shabbab barra ma3 14feb aktarr men al\ shabab jouwwa in lebanon.
i can tell u about nigeria, which is the largest christian community in west or in africa as a whole
over 10000 christians in nigeria working and very close to the politics in lebanon.
i can bet anyone , if they can muster more than 500 to come to lebanon and vote for them.....
i saw their lists and i\laughed, mostly the expats are from the north, and many from zgharta, koura, betroun, few becharri and some from beirut, matn and a bit from jezzine or south.
ye3ni the votes they need from the important kazas are just not there LOL
in any case, THE GULF area ( emirates, qatar, saudi, etc.....) are the ones that we should worry about, ad i have no numbers there.
maybe residents members there can give us better idea.
as for australia, the largest christan communtiea are from kazas that they need not their votes.
take for example 3 villages.
becharri ,hatcheet has a lot there, waste of ticket, also bann.same effect.
karam al muherr, 3imarr, etc..... they vote danniye
mereh kfersghabb......vote zgharta bass will they make a diff?
and this is how we should see the issue, numbers are not enough.
they need to get numbers where it matters.