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14th July 2008
Quote:
Originally Posted by sarhay  Dynamis:
If you have the 2005 data and able to post it that will be great! keep in mind that many things had changed since then and eventually impacted people's opinions about various political parties. tayyib,I will be waiting for the 2005 data so we can extrapolate... | North Lebanon Two Constituency
Tripoli, Minyeh, Zghorta, Batroun and Koura
Election Date: June 19, 2005 17 seats:
Sunnis (6), Orthodox (4), Alawites (1), Maronites (6). Number of Voters:
392,012 (Tripoli: 175,540, Minieh: 38,002, Zgharta: 66,290, Koura: 55,847, Batroun: 55,822)
Tripoli: 8 seats (5 Sunnites, 1 Alawite, 1 Maronite, 1 Greek Orthodox)
Minyeh: 1 Alawite seat
Zgharta: 3 Maronite seats
Batroun: 2 Maronite seats
Koura: 3 Greek Orthodox saets
Contestents: 59.
Registered voters: 392,012
Total voters: 177,362
Net Voters: 175,971
Turnout: 44.89 percent Winners "Reconciliation and Reform List"
Hariri's Future Tide Movement,Tripoli Bloc, Lebanese Forces, Qornet Shehawan, Democratic Left
Sunnites:
Current MP Mohammad Safadi (Tripoli, 104,711 votes),
current MP Mosbah Al Ahdab (Tripoli, Democratic Renwewal Movement, 97,137)
current MP Mohammad Kabbara (Triploi, 96,922 votes),
former minister Samir Al Jisr (Triploi, Future Movement, 93,903 votes),
Dr. Mutapha Mohammad Alloush (Tripoli, 92,015 votes),
Hashem Alameddine (Minyeh, 89,060 votes).
Maronites:
current MP Butros Harb (Batroun, Qornet Shehwan, 95,554 votes),
Nayla Moawad (Zgharta, Qornet Shehwan, 93,032 votes),
Jawad Simon Boulos (Zgharta, 91,786),
Samir Franjieh (Zgharta, Qornet Shehwan, 90,830 votes),
Elias Atallah (Tripoli, Democtaric Left Movement, 89,890 votes),
Antoine Zahara (Batroun, Lebanese Forces, 87,645 votes).
Greek Orthodox:
Current MP Maurice Fadel (Tripoli, Independent, 99,284 votes),
current MP Farid Mekari (Koura, Future Movement, 96,837 votes),
former MP Nicholas Ghosn (Koura, 92,907 votes),
Farid Habib (Koura, Lebanese Force, 93,169 votes).
Alawites:
Badr Wannous (Tripoli, 89,688). Losers "Popular Decision List" - Qarar Al Shaab
Aoun's Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), Zgharta MP Sleimen Franjieh, Lebanese Communist Party, Former PM Omar Karami, Syrian National Socialist Party and allies
Sunnites:
Former MP Abdelmajid Al Rafii (Tripoli, 74,860 votes),
Dr. Mohammad Nadim Al Jisr (Tripoli, 69,401 votes),
former MP Ahmad Karami (Tripoli, 66,914 votes),
Nawwaf Salem Kabbara (Tripoli, 63,482 votes),
Dr. Saffouh Yakan (Triploi, 61,405 votes),
Mahmoud Tobbo (Minyeh, 63,484 votes).
Maronites:
Current MP Suleiman Franjieh (Zgharta, 82,670 votes),
former MP Istephan Douehi (Zghrata, 68,042 votes),
Salim Karam (Zgharta, 65,325 votes),
Fayez Karam (Tripoli, FPM, 75,408 votes),
Gebran Bassil (Batroun, FPM, 74,623 votes),
Nizar Younis (Batroun, FPM, 71,684 votes).
Greek Orthodox:
Current MP Fayez Ghosn (Koura, 68,888 votes),
Salim Al Azar (Koura, FPM, 67,002 votes),
Rafli Diab (Tripoli, 65,077 votes),
Dr. Ata Jabbour (Koura, 63,017 votes).
Alawites:
Current MP Ahamad Hbous (Tripoli, 66,006 votes). Prominent Lebanese | Elections 2005 | North Lebanon Two Constituency
..............................................
North Lebanon 2 voter turnout by sect:
Sunni: 82110
Shia: 1364
Alawi: 4260
Maronite: 46576
Catholic: 582
Orthodox: 22403
Evang: 151
Arm. Cath: 69
Arm. Orth: 406
Minorities: 221
Koura stastics by sect:
Sunni: 3259
Shia: 502
Alawi: 54
Maronite: 3601
Catholic: 58
Orthodox: 13972
Evang: 28
Arm. Cath:
Arm. Orth: 13
Miniorities: 13 Lebanon Elections 2005 | | | | | Orange Room Supporter
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14th July 2008
If am not mistaken the sunni towns in Koura vote in Tripoli. right? | | | | | Orange Room Supporter
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14th July 2008
On a side note, their will be no FM candidates in highly dominated Christian areas. I doubt if Makkari will be able to run.
Its not the opposition who will object but the Christian valentinos will start the begging.....Will Hariri sacrifice Makari in Koura or Ghattas Khoury/Michel Faroun in Beirut?  | | | | | Registered Member
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14th July 2008
Quote:
Originally Posted by sarhay Shuyu3i:
I hope that you will be right this time:) but if i take everytown and projected its outcome in the election that will a start. Major towns in Al koura that will tip the election balance outcome are: Ammyoun, Kousba, Dahr-al3een, Kfer hazeer, Anfeh, and chekka( i donot if it is in koura or batroun according to the election law). Here is my 2 cents worth predictions:
Ammyoun= probably opposition
Kousba=more toward LF?
Kfer Hazeer=known as SSNPand FPM so it would be opposition
Anfeh=loyalist
Chekka=probably opposition
Deddeh= loyalist, eventhough they are SSNP mostly, but the sunni population may tip it toward loyalist.
Dahr Al-3ein/Samriyeh= typically Marada, so i will predict opposition, even though harit Al ber`asheyih is mostly LF.
Batroumeen=historically LCP oriented, do not know how it will vote.
Beshmizzin= Loyalist
Bterram=50/50
Bsarmah=loyalist
Kfer 3aa`/saroun=opposition
Feyi3= opposition
Btorateej/nakleeh/kfer `ahill=loyalist/LF
3abah/bdebah= probably opposition??
Badbihoun and surrounding villages=opposition
Darib 3ishtaar=loyalist.
Now these villages vary in their electoral weight and the few major villages could tip the balance regardless of the outcome in the several smaller ones. These are the villages that i can remember, again these are only prediction and should not be taken as factual statements. | If I go back to 2005 results, Sleiman Frangieh in Anfeh got more votes than what Farid Macary got(which by the way is his home town) so based on what anfeh is loyalist? Same for Kosba my friend. | | | | | Registered Member
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14th July 2008
Quote:
Originally Posted by TAYYAR AL AOUNI North Lebanon Two Constituency
Tripoli, Minyeh, Zghorta, Batroun and Koura
Election Date: June 19, 2005 17 seats:
Sunnis (6), Orthodox (4), Alawites (1), Maronites (6). Number of Voters:
392,012 (Tripoli: 175,540, Minieh: 38,002, Zgharta: 66,290, Koura: 55,847, Batroun: 55,822)
Tripoli: 8 seats (5 Sunnites, 1 Alawite, 1 Maronite, 1 Greek Orthodox)
Minyeh: 1 Alawite seat
Zgharta: 3 Maronite seats
Batroun: 2 Maronite seats
Koura: 3 Greek Orthodox saets
Contestents: 59.
Registered voters: 392,012
Total voters: 177,362
Net Voters: 175,971
Turnout: 44.89 percent Winners "Reconciliation and Reform List"
Hariri's Future Tide Movement,Tripoli Bloc, Lebanese Forces, Qornet Shehawan, Democratic Left
Sunnites:
Current MP Mohammad Safadi (Tripoli, 104,711 votes),
current MP Mosbah Al Ahdab (Tripoli, Democratic Renwewal Movement, 97,137)
current MP Mohammad Kabbara (Triploi, 96,922 votes),
former minister Samir Al Jisr (Triploi, Future Movement, 93,903 votes),
Dr. Mutapha Mohammad Alloush (Tripoli, 92,015 votes),
Hashem Alameddine (Minyeh, 89,060 votes).
Maronites:
current MP Butros Harb (Batroun, Qornet Shehwan, 95,554 votes),
Nayla Moawad (Zgharta, Qornet Shehwan, 93,032 votes),
Jawad Simon Boulos (Zgharta, 91,786),
Samir Franjieh (Zgharta, Qornet Shehwan, 90,830 votes),
Elias Atallah (Tripoli, Democtaric Left Movement, 89,890 votes),
Antoine Zahara (Batroun, Lebanese Forces, 87,645 votes).
Greek Orthodox:
Current MP Maurice Fadel (Tripoli, Independent, 99,284 votes),
current MP Farid Mekari (Koura, Future Movement, 96,837 votes),
former MP Nicholas Ghosn (Koura, 92,907 votes),
Farid Habib (Koura, Lebanese Force, 93,169 votes).
Alawites:
Badr Wannous (Tripoli, 89,688). Losers "Popular Decision List" - Qarar Al Shaab
Aoun's Free Patriotic Movement (FPM), Zgharta MP Sleimen Franjieh, Lebanese Communist Party, Former PM Omar Karami, Syrian National Socialist Party and allies
Sunnites:
Former MP Abdelmajid Al Rafii (Tripoli, 74,860 votes),
Dr. Mohammad Nadim Al Jisr (Tripoli, 69,401 votes),
former MP Ahmad Karami (Tripoli, 66,914 votes),
Nawwaf Salem Kabbara (Tripoli, 63,482 votes),
Dr. Saffouh Yakan (Triploi, 61,405 votes),
Mahmoud Tobbo (Minyeh, 63,484 votes).
Maronites:
Current MP Suleiman Franjieh (Zgharta, 82,670 votes),
former MP Istephan Douehi (Zghrata, 68,042 votes),
Salim Karam (Zgharta, 65,325 votes),
Fayez Karam (Tripoli, FPM, 75,408 votes),
Gebran Bassil (Batroun, FPM, 74,623 votes),
Nizar Younis (Batroun, FPM, 71,684 votes).
Greek Orthodox:
Current MP Fayez Ghosn (Koura, 68,888 votes),
Salim Al Azar (Koura, FPM, 67,002 votes),
Rafli Diab (Tripoli, 65,077 votes),
Dr. Ata Jabbour (Koura, 63,017 votes).
Alawites:
Current MP Ahamad Hbous (Tripoli, 66,006 votes). Prominent Lebanese | Elections 2005 | North Lebanon Two Constituency
..............................................
North Lebanon 2 voter turnout by sect:
Sunni: 82110
Shia: 1364
Alawi: 4260
Maronite: 46576
Catholic: 582
Orthodox: 22403
Evang: 151
Arm. Cath: 69
Arm. Orth: 406
Minorities: 221
Koura stastics by sect:
Sunni: 3259
Shia: 502
Alawi: 54
Maronite: 3601
Catholic: 58
Orthodox: 13972
Evang: 28
Arm. Cath:
Arm. Orth: 13
Miniorities: 13 Lebanon Elections 2005 | Ur statistics are great, but the Proudtobelebanese statistics are actually from the 2000 elections. I added up the votes by each sect and they totaled only 158,000, shy by 19,000 votes, so there is obv some error. I also just went to the site and they say the Bcharre district only had 10,000 votes. However, it is known that between 39-45% voted during the elections of 2005 and that would total between 17160 to 19800 of the original 44000 registered voters. Do u by any chance know the total Christian vote in the 2005 elections (from other sites)? Has the FPM ever released any numbers? | | | | | Orange Room Supporter
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14th July 2008
tayyar had a study about kaza statiistics in 05
for both becahrri and koura and triploi
check tayyar.org | | | | | Registered Member
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14th July 2008
Quote:
Originally Posted by hannaalsayssa tayyar had a study about kaza statiistics in 05
for both becahrri and koura and triploi
check tayyar.org | Omgsh!!! Can u send me a link plzzzzzzzzz since im new here!!!!! | | | | | Registered Member
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14th July 2008
Quote:
Originally Posted by LEBNEN AWALAN |
Thank you so much! | | | | | Registered Member
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15th July 2008
Quote:
Originally Posted by hannaalsayssa .....
the sg presence is usually among the few maronite villagres ( beit roumin) and the rest is scattered .
my friend wife is from kousba, and all her cousins and family are ssnp and so anti sg.
also in amyoun, ya haram if any person thinks that they can get even 20% of the vote there for 14feb. | Hanna, Beit Roumin is not amronite,FYI. it is mostly orthodox and leftist/LCP oriented. do not know what had changed since 2005 in that town?
Ammyoun is the major town that will make or break either side. I know that they are mostly SSNP supporter, though if the Feb14 got more than 25% that will be alarming for opposition. | | | | | |
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