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  (#101 (permalink)) Old
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Default 11th September 2008

If GMA would listen to me lol ... I would tell him Sehnawi for Greek Cathollic and we will win that one against Pharaon , Poussy is strong and Nadim has to think so much before he loses in Achrafieh because Achrafieh el Bidayah and the Nihayah. It would be the saddest day of my life to see the son of Bachir lose yet my happiest day. I know Nadim very well and unfortunately he was very charismatic under the Syrian occupation and until Hikmat Dib elections since then he has lost his way due to his mom. He has taken the wrong road and hopefully he will see the light and realize that FAN, Poussy and the Kouweit el Oudamma who were with his dad whether in Lebanon, United States, France are now with GMA. Even if he wins he will lose because it will be a very tight race and the aura of Bachir will be gone forever. The hero , the president , the legend , the 10,452, all gone for a potential to a seat in parliament . It is a great way to get rid of Bachir / Nadim and pave the way for Sami especially if the FPM leaves a seat for Sami as we left for Pierre.

As for Tueni versus Abs. I am biased. She is related to me. Here is my take. If the people of Achrafieh were to vote with their minds they might vote for Abs. The problem with Abs is that although he is awesome from an FPM perspective he is not as known as Tueni. If voters in Achrafieh vote with their emotions than Nayla will win. Yet one has to remember that Abs, Sehnawi, Poussy will be together plus an Armenian and thus they will win together and lose together .

What we have to watch for is the Saudis paying money and they are ready to pump the money like their is no tomorrow to make Nadim , Phar Aoun, and Nayla win so that Hariri has the upper hand .

If I were Nadim , I would withdraw to Poussy, Ziad withdraws to Nayla , Pahraon gives his place to Sehnawi, and the Tahnaq gets the Armenian seat. This wil unify Achrafieh . If need be an LFer can be on the list . ( Yet with Poussy he is close to FPM and used to be LF) This will be graet for Beirut and for Lebanon and the Christians and most imporatntly will put a break on Saudi money and Tawteen .
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  (#102 (permalink)) Old
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Default 11th September 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuyu3i View Post
Habibi, 17% voted as everyone knew the result already. They knew FM was going to win in beirut and the others boycotted as they did in the by election. In Baabda you will be voted by HA so whats ur point? If you get 40% of the christian vote which is not the majority and all the shia you will stil win!!! This sectarian **** has to stop. An election law that stipulates lebanon as 1 whole district with nesbeyi is the best law.
lebanon as 1 district will give you secterian bocks but in percentage...heheee
if shi3a are 30% of voters HA-Amal list will get 28% of seats
if sunni are 30% of voters FM will get 28% of seats
I think it would be much worst than the electoral system we have today
before removing secterian thinking from politics you should remove it from society ya shuyu3eh
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  (#103 (permalink)) Old
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Default 11th September 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuyu3i View Post
Habibi, 17% voted as everyone knew the result already. They knew FM was going to win in beirut and the others boycotted as they did in the by election. In Baabda you will be voted by HA so whats ur point? If you get 40% of the christian vote which is not the majority and all the shia you will stil win!!!
[]

In Baabda, the shiite vote equals the Sunni + Druze vote. Go check the numbers before enlightening us with your ignorance.

In order for FPM to Win this district, it will need to win the christian vote, which is eventually the case, if you knew the area of baabda well.
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  (#104 (permalink)) Old
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Default 11th September 2008

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Originally Posted by Placebo View Post
[]

In Baabda, the shiite vote equals the Sunni + Druze vote. Go check the numbers before enlightening us with your ignorance.

In order for FPM to Win this district, it will need to win the christian vote, which is eventually the case, if you knew the area of baabda well.
Inshallah Kheir. As I said let the best man win.
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  (#105 (permalink)) Old
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Default 11th September 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aoune View Post
If GMA would listen to me lol ... I would tell him Sehnawi for Greek Cathollic and we will win that one against Pharaon , Poussy is strong and Nadim has to think so much before he loses in Achrafieh because Achrafieh el Bidayah and the Nihayah. It would be the saddest day of my life to see the son of Bachir lose yet my happiest day. I know Nadim very well and unfortunately he was very charismatic under the Syrian occupation and until Hikmat Dib elections since then he has lost his way due to his mom. He has taken the wrong road and hopefully he will see the light and realize that FAN, Poussy and the Kouweit el Oudamma who were with his dad whether in Lebanon, United States, France are now with GMA. Even if he wins he will lose because it will be a very tight race and the aura of Bachir will be gone forever. The hero , the president , the legend , the 10,452, all gone for a potential to a seat in parliament . It is a great way to get rid of Bachir / Nadim and pave the way for Sami especially if the FPM leaves a seat for Sami as we left for Pierre.

As for Tueni versus Abs. I am biased. She is related to me. Here is my take. If the people of Achrafieh were to vote with their minds they might vote for Abs. The problem with Abs is that although he is awesome from an FPM perspective he is not as known as Tueni. If voters in Achrafieh vote with their emotions than Nayla will win. Yet one has to remember that Abs, Sehnawi, Poussy will be together plus an Armenian and thus they will win together and lose together .

What we have to watch for is the Saudis paying money and they are ready to pump the money like their is no tomorrow to make Nadim , Phar Aoun, and Nayla win so that Hariri has the upper hand .

If I were Nadim , I would withdraw to Poussy, Ziad withdraws to Nayla , Pahraon gives his place to Sehnawi, and the Tahnaq gets the Armenian seat. This wil unify Achrafieh . If need be an LFer can be on the list . ( Yet with Poussy he is close to FPM and used to be LF) This will be graet for Beirut and for Lebanon and the Christians and most imporatntly will put a break on Saudi money and Tawteen .
placing abs and sehnaoui on the same list in the same district is a risky thing
they are both young - virtualy unknown - they rely exclusively on FPM base
it's better to have one of the two on the list (sehnaoui has an advantage over abs)
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  (#106 (permalink)) Old
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Default 11th September 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by Placebo View Post
[]

In Baabda, the shiite vote equals the Sunni + Druze vote. Go check the numbers before enlightening us with your ignorance.

In order for FPM to Win this district, it will need to win the christian vote, which is eventually the case, if you knew the area of baabda well.
Your correction is right, evenmore, the number of Chiites + Druze eligible voters will overcome the number of Chiitees in 2009

However, the Sunni does not have a deputy in this caza because most of them were inserted after "tejniss" and they were never exisiting traditionally in that region before

[ ]
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Default 11th September 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shuyu3i View Post
Habibi, 17% voted as everyone knew the result already. They knew FM was going to win in beirut and the others boycotted as they did in the by election. In Baabda you will be voted by HA so whats ur point? If you get 40% of the christian vote which is not the majority and all the shia you will stil win!!! This sectarian **** has to stop. An election law that stipulates lebanon as 1 whole district with nesbeyi is the best law.
Habibi thank you for proving my point.
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  (#108 (permalink)) Old
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Default 11th September 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by Aoune View Post
If I were Nadim , I would withdraw to Poussy, Ziad withdraws to Nayla , Pahraon gives his place to Sehnawi, and the Tahnaq gets the Armenian seat. This wil unify Achrafieh . If need be an LFer can be on the list . ( Yet with Poussy he is close to FPM and used to be LF) This will be graet for Beirut and for Lebanon and the Christians and most imporatntly will put a break on Saudi money and Tawteen .
Walaw ya Aoune, chou this is ecole des fans and tout le monde a gagne? Chou whithdraw to this and that ye3ne? People need to make their voices heard, whether they want Nayla or Abs or Nadim or any Geageagist, they need to make their voices heard, and they need, for the first time in a long time, get their favorite people to the parliament. I am TOTALLY against this compromises thing, I am totally against leaving a seat to Sami Gemayel in Metn, I am totally against trading seats with Joumblat anywhere, this is all bulls-it, either we give the people the chance to chose, and this is what we fought for in Doha, or let Hariri rule the country again, I mean having a dictatorship, whether by Hariri or HA or whoever won't make a difference.
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  (#109 (permalink)) Old
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Default 11th September 2008

Quote:
Originally Posted by Fakhr eddine 1618 View Post
Your correction is right, evenmore, the number of Chiites + Druze eligible voters will overcome the number of Chiitees in 2009

However, the Sunni does not have a deputy in this caza because most of them were inserted after "tejniss" and they were never exisiting traditionally in that region before

[ ]
you mean Sunnites + Druze right ?
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  (#110 (permalink)) Old
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Default 11th September 2008

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Originally Posted by Comfortably.Numb View Post
you mean Sunnites + Druze right ?
Yes, thank you for correction
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