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While your theory does hold ground on logical terms
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That's all I need to hear. It's a theory. You can't say Israel killed him, until Israel openly confesses it. Same with Syria. And, if Hezbollah does indeed attack Israel without being able to confirm that they killed him, and start a war resulting to the death of another 1,000 Lebanese, claim that if they know their was a one percent chance of it happening they wouldn't have done it, it's the Lebanese who are going to look like fools.
I can say this. Whoever killed Mughniyeh deserves a medal. I mean, even the more liberal Hezbollah supporters have no reason to like the guy. He represents everything ugly about Hezbollah's terrorist past, a past Hezbollah has never denounced and never cited a change from. It's because of Mughniyeh that Hezbollah is considered a terrorist group. That man was a bit too adventerous.