1/2 or 1/4?

[NMA]

wtf a win by 65 only ?? :S

[Jumpo]

This was first mentioned and explained by Jean Aziz, few days ago in Al-akhbar, just a FYI.

Indeed accurate, but as the LF respond, every 14 Azar deputee is an LF deputee :-)

Originally Posted by X

I got this by email:

If 14 March wins 71 deputies (VERY BEST SCENARIO ALL THE CANDIDATES WON)
Mr. Geagea will get 6 deputies
Mr. Gemayel will get 6 deputies
Independents (on 14 feb lists) get 4 deputies
Mr. Jumblat will get 17 deputies
Mr. Hariri will get 38 deputies .
which means Future Movement will have 60% of the next government ,
Mr. Jumblat 17% and the Christians of 14 feb 23% of the government.
as a result Mr.Hariri and Mr.Jumblat will have 75% of the government seats and the rest which is 25% for the LF, Kataeb,and independents , ye3ne bel 3arabeh el mchabra7 3/4 bi 1/4 , and they dare talk about mouselasseh :))))))))))))

If the opposition wins , lets say 65 seats (VERY PROBABLE SCENARIO)
Mr. Berri will get 15 deputies,
Kawmi will get 4 deputies,
Hezbollah get 11 deputies,
which is a total of 30 seats .
remains 35 seats for Tayyar ,Tachnaq, Marada and independents on their lists .
which means The Change & reform block will get more than 50 % of the government : haydee esma charakee.


For all the Christians who are being hammered day and night by fear of the Islamic state, of Wilayat el Fakih, tell us, which scenario ensures a stronger Christian voice, a stronger Christian coalition that could say YES OR NO as it pleases it?

[sanfour]

Originally Posted by X

I got this by email:

If 14 March wins 71 deputies (VERY BEST SCENARIO ALL THE CANDIDATES WON)
Mr. Geagea will get 6 deputies
Mr. Gemayel will get 6 deputies
Independents (on 14 feb lists) get 4 deputies
Mr. Jumblat will get 17 deputies
Mr. Hariri will get 38 deputies .
which means Future Movement will have 60% of the next government ,
Mr. Jumblat 17% and the Christians of 14 feb 23% of the government.
as a result Mr.Hariri and Mr.Jumblat will have 75% of the government seats and the rest which is 25% for the LF, Kataeb,and independents , ye3ne bel 3arabeh el mchabra7 3/4 bi 1/4 , and they dare talk about mouselasseh :))))))))))))

If the opposition wins , lets say 65 seats (VERY PROBABLE SCENARIO)
Mr. Berri will get 15 deputies,
Kawmi will get 4 deputies,
Hezbollah get 11 deputies,
which is a total of 30 seats .
remains 35 seats for Tayyar ,Tachnaq, Marada and independents on their lists .
which means The Change & reform block will get more than 50 % of the government : haydee esma charakee.


For all the Christians who are being hammered day and night by fear of the Islamic state, of Wilayat el Fakih, tell us, which scenario ensures a stronger Christian voice, a stronger Christian coalition that could say YES OR NO as it pleases it?

given the current circumstances, it is unlikely to happen but what
if the alliance becomes :
Jumblatt 17 + Hariri 38 + 30 HA/amal = 85 menkoun akalna hawa
kelna sawa....lol

[Danny Z]

Originally Posted by X

I got this by email:

If 14 March wins 71 deputies (VERY BEST SCENARIO ALL THE CANDIDATES WON)
Mr. Geagea will get 6 deputies
Mr. Gemayel will get 6 deputies
Independents (on 14 feb lists) get 4 deputies
Mr. Jumblat will get 17 deputies
Mr. Hariri will get 38 deputies .
which means Future Movement will have 60% of the next government ,
Mr. Jumblat 17% and the Christians of 14 feb 23% of the government.
as a result Mr.Hariri and Mr.Jumblat will have 75% of the government seats and the rest which is 25% for the LF, Kataeb,and independents , ye3ne bel 3arabeh el mchabra7 3/4 bi 1/4 , and they dare talk about mouselasseh :))))))))))))

If the opposition wins , lets say 65 seats (VERY PROBABLE SCENARIO)
Mr. Berri will get 15 deputies,
Kawmi will get 4 deputies,
Hezbollah get 11 deputies,
which is a total of 30 seats .
remains 35 seats for Tayyar ,Tachnaq, Marada and independents on their lists .
which means The Change & reform block will get more than 50 % of the government : haydee esma charakee.


For all the Christians who are being hammered day and night by fear of the Islamic state, of Wilayat el Fakih, tell us, which scenario ensures a stronger Christian voice, a stronger Christian coalition that could say YES OR NO as it pleases it?

March 8 FPM attacked bayrout el majrou7a on 7 ayyar, FPM gave a cover for sile7 gher shar3i.
The Souri Irani should not get 50%, you want to see 7aras el thawra bi kesserwen, jbeyl will maten?
Stop insulting the president and the batrak, baddkon t2asrou wileyet el batrak w tam3lou ma7alla wileyet el fakih, your general everyday talks about putting the flag of basdaran in bkerki and you replaced the cedar by 2 stars, ba3d na2es tiketbou allahou w akbar inside the flag ma3 AK47, you divided the christians but you lost your popularity at the same time and bla bla bla w damm el hariri ma nashaf ba3d, w bla bla bla el ma7kame atya, w bla bla bla ma bte7termou el shouhada you are running against their chidlren, 3ayb ba2a talking about the third republic badkon ta3mlou in2ileb 3al taef, the taef that all lebanese agreed on (after october 13). Ste7ou ba2a.

[Youchka]

Originally Posted by Romario

Strong coalition of Sleiman Frangieh ( no where near Taghyir or Isla7, his tenure as Minister are a proof of his ethics/standards ), Michel Aoun ( I will refrain from upset you guys, but the least you can say is Aoun is extremely controversial, his means are arrogant and him as a person has very questionnable decisions ( previous wars with his 40%-of-an-army, endorsing Hezballah's weapons, etc... )....
What good can come if it is strong but will pull for what is perceived as an unsuitable agenda by many?

Rah ekhdak 3ala add 3akletak and ask you a really really simple question:

remember the Holy friday issue, it happened didn't it, and the Christian ministers did not budge back then.
I ask you, if this or a similar issue comes up, which coalition you think will opposed it?
Also which coalition will be able to do something about it?

[mickey117]

Originally Posted by Danny Z

March 8 FPM attacked bayrout el majrou7a on 7 ayyar, FPM gave a cover for sile7 gher shar3i.
The Souri Irani should not get 50%, you want to see 7aras el thawra bi kesserwen, jbeyl will maten?
Stop insulting the president and the batrak, baddkon t2asrou wileyet el batrak w tam3lou ma7alla wileyet el fakih, your general everyday talks about putting the flag of basdaran in bkerki and you replaced the cedar by 2 stars, ba3d na2es tiketbou allahou w akbar inside the flag ma3 AK47, you divided the christians but you lost your popularity at the same time and bla bla bla w damm el hariri ma nashaf ba3d, w bla bla bla el ma7kame atya, w bla bla bla ma bte7termou el shouhada you are running against their chidlren, 3ayb ba2a talking about the third republic badkon ta3mlou in2ileb 3al taef, the taef that all lebanese agreed on (after october 13). Ste7ou ba2a.

you forgot the most important part:



WEL SAMAAA ZAR2AAA

[yaraman]

Originally Posted by sanfour

given the current circumstances, it is unlikely to happen but what
if the alliance becomes :
Jumblatt 17 + Hariri 38 + 30 HA/amal = 85 menkoun akalna hawa
kelna sawa....lol

SHN said :تأخذون كل شيء من عندنا نحن الأوفياء للأفياء وهذا الوفاء هو اليوم أساس التحالف الإنتخابي القائم

I beleive every word.

[Diabolo_7]

Originally Posted by Danny Z

March 8 FPM attacked bayrout el majrou7a on 7 ayyar, FPM gave a cover for sile7 gher shar3i.
The Souri Irani should not get 50%, you want to see 7aras el thawra bi kesserwen, jbeyl will maten?
Stop insulting the president and the batrak, baddkon t2asrou wileyet el batrak w tam3lou ma7alla wileyet el fakih, your general everyday talks about putting the flag of basdaran in bkerki and you replaced the cedar by 2 stars, ba3d na2es tiketbou allahou w akbar inside the flag ma3 AK47, you divided the christians but you lost your popularity at the same time and bla bla bla w damm el hariri ma nashaf ba3d, w bla bla bla el ma7kame atya, w bla bla bla ma bte7termou el shouhada you are running against their chidlren, 3ayb ba2a talking about the third republic badkon ta3mlou in2ileb 3al taef, the taef that all lebanese agreed on (after october 13). Ste7ou ba2a.

next thread pls

2inno shu khallaytllon la sunny boy, lebw noss, ashrafieh lf, FBM, and the rest of the gang???

[yaraman]

Originally Posted by Jumpo

This was first mentioned and explained by Jean Aziz, few days ago in Al-akhbar, just a FYI.

Indeed accurate, but as the LF respond, every 14 Azar deputee is an LF deputee :-)

Wain, bi aya bank bysrfouha haydi :)

[mickey117]

Originally Posted by Youchka

Rah ekhdak 3ala add 3akletak and ask you a really really simple question:

remember the Holy friday issue, it happened didn't it, and the Christian ministers did not budge back then.
I ask you, if this or a similar issue comes up, which coalition you think will opposed it?
Also which coalition will be able to do something about it?

I'm sorry but DR. Samir Geagea explained that very well back then:

"Haydeh el 2ossa kella n3amalit fakat la ta7sin wade3 el dawra el 2ektissadiyeh"