In case Israel launches a new operation in Lebanon... -
17th March 2007
Hey comrades...
Last July, we were taken by surprise (and so did the Israelis) by the War launched on Lebanon, in retaliation for the kidnapping of two of its soldiers by Hezbollah's fighters on the Lebanon-Israel international border, supposed to be returned in exchange for Lebanon's POVs in Israel.
Hezbollah's military capacities, in complementarity with FPM's and civil societies' civil and political mobilization, successfully repelled Israel's pre-planned operation that aimed at immediate military implementation of the clause in Resolution 1559 about disarmament of militias.
However, during our activism, we encountered many daily gaps, due to lack of preparation and strong mental and physical pressure and threats.
The Israeli government conducted a wide campaign of assessment of its drawbacks in that War and launched several military trainings already and introduced improvements on its war machine, in matter of philosophy, equipment, strategy, tactics...etc
These improvements and the big fuss made about the War, are logical sources of suspicion in matter of possibility of launching a new "improved" operation that, in the Israeli government's perception, can lead to successful achievement of the objectives (neglecting at this moment the United States of America's strategical plan and vision for the composition and destiny of the current Middle Easter Geopolitical situation).
On Hezbollah's side, I have no idea what assessment was made.
My concern is focused on FPM's assessment.
In case the suspicions were not just suspicions but rather real occurences, how can we, aslo, improve our means of civil resistance (political campaigning and lobbying, mass manipulation, relief efforts...etc)?
I hope we can all contribute in the thinking process in order to be ready... Just in case...
I don't want to look as hijacking the thread topic but the best thing would be for HA/SHN to stop their treason campigns against others. This would be the best first step preparation.
By the way, not just FPM's political/civil movement played a role, other Lebanese did play a role too in relief efforts etc ...
CB, your message would be better addressed to all Lebanese... Hezbollah and FPM wouldn't have been able to manage the crisis without a similar supports from other citizens.
Some lessons should be learnt from the last war to apply in next summer's war. It'd be a good idea to start training people now as in an army corps for civil defence: First aid, transport officers, refugee management.
We sholudnt be leaving it too late. All parties should stock up on essential medications. Large quantity of unperishable food, fuel to run generators, houses to relocate the refugees, burying grounds etc.
The government should also learn to hold firm this time and not have Sanioura yjarresna like he did the last time.
I am sure this coming war will be tougher than the last one because Israel cant afford wars every Summer like lebanon can so a good deal of preparation is needed to resist even if the whole country has been turned to rubbles. Victories dont come cheap especially when facing an enemy as implacable as Israel.
As for the FPM they should learn from Manar how to manage various brodcasting sites in case Israel bombs OTV.
Walid Jumblat and Samir Geagea have been raising their tones lately to such an apocalyptical axtent as to raise the tension and the survival instinct among their partisans. WJ says it's a long bloody fight and SG says it's a matter of preserving Lebanon's "identity".
These statements, in the case of another war, will turn to clear hatred towards HA and may even result in military action against them during any conflict, the israelis will raise the heat on the border, those two will raise the heat inside, and this is not an unlikely scenario given their military history and their ability to to raise civil clashes.
as a political party with a big civil role to play , FPM should be prepared to handle and provide support for all kind of emergencies like an Israeli war , but also like for earthquakes , catastrophes ,...
FPM should have a crisis committee with a pre-set plan that can assign jobs and provide ressources. First Aid material , blankets , matresses and other kind of emegency material should be bought and stocked in a safe place.....
as a political party with a big civil role to play , FPM should be prepared to handle and provide support for all kind of emergencies like an Israeli war , but also like for earthquakes , catastrophes ,...
FPM should have a crisis committee with a pre-set plan that can assign jobs and provide ressources. First Aid material , blankets , matresses and other kind of emegency material should be bought and stocked in a safe place.....
in those matters, i beleive that FPM can be more efficient inside a national unity government, politically and logistically.
One of the biggest mistakes made during the war was that a NON-national unity government was negotiating with the international community even if the 1701 was approved by national leaders.
I think your contribution here is morbid enough.
Dude, wars carry a cost and if the burden is shared by all it gets lighter. You make it sound as if a new war is a bad thing for Lebanon. I have news for you. We have entered a 100 year war and yes there is going to be a big price to pay, but Lebanon will come out of this victorious and the jews will leave the Middle east for ever. We cannot count on the cowardly Arab regimes to kick the jews out into the sea, the Lebanese will have to do it alone I am afraid.
By the way, not just FPM's political/civil movement played a role, other Lebanese did play a role too in relief efforts etc ...
Indeed. I pointed at that in the same sentence. However, I highlighted the name of FPM among the others because I am targetting the FPM organization in this thread.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Dry Ice
CB, your message would be better addressed to all Lebanese... Hezbollah and FPM wouldn't have been able to manage the crisis without a similar supports from other citizens.
That was my intention DI. However, I hope you can help me reformulate it that way. I targetted FPM by targetting the organizational framework of it.
So in case you can introduce means of expanding and generalizing the idea, I would be more than grateful.
In case Israel launches a new operation in Lebanon... -
17th March 2007
17th March 2007
