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26th April 2009
We can't look at 2005 figures because back then we had the votes of the FPM supporters and we had 2 strong independents, Kortbawi and Dr. Daccache. This time it is not the case, and I don't know how capable any of our 3 candidates to attract independent voters. I am more than sure that Gharios can't (I personally, an FPMer for quite a while, and have barely heard of him). Alain is a good element but in my opinion his running this time is gonna rah yeherko, he needed much more exposure, work, shedding the light on him, so I also here do not think that Alain will grab any independents, and Hikmat Dib, well he is the only one that has some notoriety, but then again, limited in my opinion in what it comes to independents.
I hope that what happened with Kortbawi and Daccache will not cost us a win, given that the Chiite votes in Baabda are neutralized by the Sunni + Druze votes and the Christian vote is the one that will decide, and it is a fact that there is a big percentage of Christians that are attracted by non partisan figures like Kortbawi and Daccache. |