Quote:
Originally Posted by Abou Sandal  My original answer was to what you said:
"it (The Israeli harsh reaction) also should be an obligation and it must become unbreakable rule. Israel's response in similar situations must become fully predictable."
This is in fact what Israel has been trying for a long time to convince the arabs of:"If you dare think to touch me,my reaction will be brutal beyound your imagination"
Thus Israel's frequent and constant "over-reactions".....
This is a typical "Psychological warfare" method.It has been practiced throughout ages and has been particullarly mastered by the Germans in WW2 towards the French resistance,by always hitting back brutally on innocent civilians,with a retaliatory show off.
Israel is using it against Arabs and it worked for a while,i might say.
But you have to make some balance when you work according to "the stick or the carrot" method.
And Israel was so drunk of its military might, that it thought it would not need the carrot anymore.(Just like the basis of the clean-break policy that was advised to Benyamin Netenyahu,and that is now enforced by the Neocons)
So it was the stick all the way....and even if you are good , you had to have the stick from time to time....just so that you don't forget.
So, when Israel abused its power so much,the perception of the Arab street became that, people will be anyway brutally agressed,whether they attack Israel or not.
This is when Israel began to loose the "psychological warfare" ground.
And when Israel showed strategical signs of weaknesses,(July war),i guess that it finished off all advantage Israel had on the "psychological warfare" ground.
And this is just towards the "weak arabs",the "little student" and not towards the "allmighty"and the "big boss" ,Iran.
And btw,Iran is not afraid of a nuclear strike.Israel knows very well that at the first nuke strike,Iran would destroy it,even with conventional weapons.
The size of Israel and the concentration of its infrastructures and populations is a very very weak point, should the 2 countries come to such extremities.
As for the humble peaceful person that i am,i would only hope for a full final fair and just peace treaty between all the belligerant parties,with a genuine and honest nuke free middle east program. |
"<b>Israel's response in similar situations must become fully predictable</b>"
It has to do with cost/benefit relationship. Ever since 1948 State of Israel was under attack one way or the other.
At the same time as you correctly put it Israel is very vulnerable strategically because of its small size.
So, the only option remains for Israel is to make cost so high that nobody would even think of touching this hot potato.
Harsh response must come at slightest provocation.
With that said, I would too prefer there'd be peace. Unfortunately, I do not see basis for it yet.